?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=Probabilistic+Networks+and+Explanatory+Coherence.&rft.creator=Thagard%2C+Paul.&rft.subject=Cognitive+Psychology&rft.subject=Artificial+Intelligence&rft.subject=Philosophy+of+Science&rft.description=When+surprising+events+occur%2C+people+naturally+try+to+generate+explanations+of+them.+Such+explanations+usually+involve+hypothesizing+causes+that+have+the+events+as+effects.+Reasoning+from+effects+to+prior+causes+is+found+in+many+domains%2C+including%3A+Social+reasoning%3A+when+friends+are+acting+strange%2C+we+conjecture+about+what+might+be+bothering+them.+Legal+reasoning%3A+when+a+crime+has+been+committed%2C+jurors+must+decide+whether+the+prosecution's+case+gives+a+convincing+explanation+of+the+evidence.+Medical+diagnosis%3A+given+a+set+of+symptoms%2C+a+physician+tries+to+decide+what+disease+or+diseases+produced+them.+Fault+diagnosis+in+manufacturing%3A+when+a+piece+of+equipment+breaks+down%2C+a+trouble+shooter+must+try+to+determine+the+cause+of+the+breakdown.+Scientific+theory+evaluation%3A+scientists+seek+an+acceptable+theory+to+explain+experimental+evidence.+What+is+the+nature+of+such+reasoning%3F&rft.publisher=AAAI+Press.++Menlo+Park&rft.contributor=O'Rourke%2C+P&rft.contributor=Josephson%2C+J.&rft.date=1997&rft.type=Book+Chapter&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text%2Fhtml&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F668%2F1%2F_7FTraditions.html&rft.identifier=++Thagard%2C+Paul.++(1997)+Probabilistic+Networks+and+Explanatory+Coherence.++%5BBook+Chapter%5D+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F668%2F