?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=A+Third+Route+to+the+Doomsday+Argument&rft.creator=Franceschi%2C+Paul&rft.subject=Logic&rft.subject=Epistemology&rft.description=In+this+paper%2C+I+present+a+solution+to+the+Doomsday+argument+based+on+a+third+type+of+solution%2C+by+contrast+to+on+the+one+hand%2C+the+Carter-Leslie+view+and+on+the+other+hand%2C+the+Eckhardt+et+al.+analysis.+I+begin+by+strengthening+both+competing+models+by+highlighting+some+variations+of+their+ancestors+models%2C+which+renders+them+less+vulnerable+to+several+objections.+I+describe+then+a+third+line+of+solution%2C+which+incorporates+insights+from+both+Leslie+and+Eckhardt's+models+and+fits+more+adequately+with+the+human+situation+corresponding+to+DA.+I+argue+then+that+this+two-sided+analogy+casts+new+light+on+the+reference+class+problem.+This+leads+finally+to+a+novel+formulation+of+the+argument+that+could+well+be+more+consensual+than+the+original+one.&rft.date=2005-08&rft.type=Preprint&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=application%2Fpdf&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F4519%2F1%2Fdoomsday-en.pdf&rft.identifier=++Franceschi%2C+Paul++(2005)+A+Third+Route+to+the+Doomsday+Argument.++%5BPreprint%5D+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F4519%2F