creators_name: Situngkir, Hokky creators_name: Surya, Yohanes type: techreport datestamp: 2004-06-28 lastmod: 2011-03-11 08:55:37 metadata_visibility: show title: Democracy: Order out of Chaos ispublished: unpub subjects: comp-sci-complex-theory subjects: economics subjects: soc-psy subjects: phil-epist full_text_status: public keywords: majority cellular automata, phase transitions, power-law, elections. abstract: We construct a majority cellular automata based model to explain the power-law signatures in Indonesian general election results. The understanding of second-order phase transitions between two different conditions inspires the model. The democracy is assumed as critical point between the two extreme socio-political situations of totalitarian and anarchistic social system - where democracy can fall into the twos. The model is in multi-party candidates system run for equilibrium or equilibria, and used to fit and analyze the three of democratic national elections in Indonesia, 1955, 1999, and 2004. date: 2004-06 date_type: published institution: Bandung Fe Institute department: Dept. Computational Sociology refereed: TRUE referencetext: Feith, H. (1970). Indonesian Political Thinking 1945-1965. Cornell University Press. Lustick, I. & Miodownik, D. (2002). “The Institutionalization of Identity: Micro Adaptation, Macro Effects, and Collective Consequences”. Studies in Comparative International Development 37(2):24-53. Hegselmann, R. & Flache, A. (1998). “Understanding Social Complex Dynamics: A Plea for Cellular Automata Based Modeling”. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulations 1(3). URL: http://www.soc.surrey.ac.uk/JASSS/1/3/1.html. Hobbes, Thomas. (1651). Leviathan. Re-print in Ebenstein, William. (1960). Great Political Thinkers: Plato to the Present hal.:366-383. Holt, Rinehart & Winston. Moore, Cristopher. (1996). Majority-Vote Cellular Automata, Ising, Dynamcs, and P-Completeness. Working Paper 96-08-060, Santa Fe Institute. Rousseau, Jean Jaques. (1762). The Social Contract. Re-print in Ebenstein, William. (1960). Great Political Thinkers: Plato to the Present hal.:441-463. Holt, Rinehart & Winston. Schuster, H. G. Deterministic Chaos: An Introduction 3rd ed. VCH. Situngkir, Hokky. (2003). “Powers of the Governmental State as Feedback Control System”. Journal of Social Complexity (1)1: 7-17. Situngkir, Hokky. (2004). Power-Law Signature in Indonesian Legislative Election 1999-2004. Research Paper WPL2004. Bandung Fe Institute. Situngkir, H. & Surya, Y. (2004). The Political Robustness in Indonesia. Research Paper WPN2004. Bandung Fe Institute. Stauffer, D. (2001). “Monte Carlo Simulations of Sznajd Models”. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 5(1). URL: http://www.soc.surrey.ac.uk/JASSS/5/1/4.html Tocqueville, Alexis de (1840), Democracy in America I, transl. Henry Reeve, The Project Guttenburg [ON-LINE], http://www.projectguttenburg.org Wilhelm, T. & Hängi, P. (2003). “Power-law Distributions Resulting from Finite Resources”. Physica A 329:499-508. Wolfram, Stephen. (2002). A New Kind of Science. Wolfram Media Inc. citation: Situngkir, Hokky and Surya, Yohanes (2004) Democracy: Order out of Chaos. [Departmental Technical Report] (Unpublished) document_url: http://cogprints.org/3696/1/2004q.pdf