?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=A+Third+Route+to+the+Doomsday+Argument&rft.creator=Franceschi%2C+Paul&rft.subject=Philosophy+of+Science&rft.subject=Metaphysics&rft.description=In+this+paper%2C+I+present+a+solution+to+the+Doomsday+argument+based+on+a+third+type+of+solution%2C+by+contrast+to+on+the+one+hand%2C+the+Carter-Leslie+view+and+on+the+other+hand%2C+the+Eckhardt+et+al.+analysis.+The+present+line+of+thought+is+based+on+the+fact+that+both+aforementioned+analyses+are+based+on+an+inaccurate+analogy.+After+discussing+the+imperfections+of+both+models%2C+I+present+then+a+two-sided+model+that+fits+more+adequately+with+the+human+situation+corresponding+to+DA+and+encapsulates+both+Carter-Leslie's+and+Eckhardt+et+al.'s+models.+I+argue+then+that+this+new+analogy+also+holds+when+one+takes+into+account+the+issue+of+indeterminism+and+the+reference+class+problem.+This+leads+finally+to+a+novel+formulation+of+the+argument+that+could+well+be+more+consensual+than+the+original+one.&rft.date=2003-05&rft.type=Preprint&rft.type=PeerReviewed&rft.format=application%2Fpdf&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F2990%2F1%2Fdoomsday-en.pdf&rft.identifier=++Franceschi%2C+Paul++(2003)+A+Third+Route+to+the+Doomsday+Argument.++%5BPreprint%5D+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fcogprints.org%2F2990%2F