Cogprints

Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices

Armstrong, J. Scott (1991) Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices. [Journal (Paginated)]

Full text available as:

[img]
Preview
PDF
179Kb

Abstract

Are those who are familiar with scientific research on consumer behavior better able to make predictions about phenomena in this field? Predictions were made for 105 hypotheses from 20 empirical studies selected from Journal of Consumer Research. A total of 1,736 predictions were obtained from 16 academics, 12 practitioners, and 43 high school students: The practitioners were correct on 58.2 percent of the hypotheses, the students on 56.6 percent, and the academics on 51.3 percent. No group performed better than chance.

Item Type:Journal (Paginated)
Subjects:Psychology > Behavioral Analysis
ID Code:5198
Deposited By: Armstrong, J. Scott
Deposited On:05 Oct 2006
Last Modified:11 Mar 2011 08:56

References in Article

Select the SEEK icon to attempt to find the referenced article. If it does not appear to be in cogprints you will be forwarded to the paracite service. Poorly formated references will probably not work.

Andreasen, Alan R. (1985), "Consumer responses to dissatisfaction in loose monopolies," Journal of Consumer

Research, 12 (September), 135-141.

Belk, Russell W., Kenneth D. Bahn and Robert N. Mayer (1982), "Developmental recognition of consumption symbolism," Journal of Consumer Research, 9 (June), 4-14.

Bither, Stewart W. and Peter Wright (1977), "Preferences between product consultants: Choices versus preference

functions," Journal of Consumer Research, 4 (June), 3947.

Goldberg, Marvin E. and Gerald J. Gorn (1978), "Some unintended consequences of TV advertising to children,"

Journal of Consumer Research, 5 (June), 22-29.

Hirschman, Elizabeth C. (1979), "Differences in consumer purchase behavior by credit card payment system,"

Journal of Consumer Research, 6 (June), 58-65.

Hoch, Stephen J. (1988), "Who do we know: Predicting the interests and opinions of the American consumer,"

Journal of Consumer Research, 15 (December), 315-324.

Hubbard, Raymond and J. Scott Armstrong (1994), "Replications and extensions in marketing: Rarely published but quite contrary," International Journal of Research in Marketing, 11, 233-248.

Huck, Schuyler and H. M. Sandler (1979), Rival Hypotheses. New York: Harper'& Row.

Jacoby, Jacob (1978), "Consumer research: A state of the art review," Journal of Marketing, 42, 87-96.

Johnson, Eric J. and J. Edward Russo (1984), "Product familiarity and learning new information," Journal of

Consumer Research, 11 (June), 542-550.

Kardes, Frank R. (1986), "Effects of initial product judgments on subsequent memory-based judgments," Journal of

Consumer Research, 13 (June), 1-10.

Kourilsky, Marilyn and Trudy Murray (1981), "The use of economic reasoning to increase satisfaction with family

decision making," Journal of Consumer Research, 8 (September), 183-188.

Krishnamurthi, Lakshman (1983), "The salience of relevant others and its effect on individual and joint preferences:

An experimental investigation," Journal of Consumer Research, 10 (June), 62-72.

Luke, Robert H. and E. R. Doke (1987), “Marketing journal hierarchies: Faculty perceptions” Journal of the

Academy of Marketing Science, 15, 74-78.

Miller, Kenneth E. and Frederick D. Sturdivant (1977), "Consumer responses to socially questionable corporate behavior: An empirical test," Journal of Consumer Research, 4 (June), 1-7.

Moschis, George P. and Roy L. Moore (1979), "Decision making among the young: A socialization perspective,"

Journal of Consumer Research, 6 (September), 101-I 10.

Painton, Scott and James W. Gentry (1985), "Another look at the impact of information presentation format,"

Journal of Consumer Research, 12 (September), 240-244.

Petty, Richard E., John T. Cacioppo and David Schumann (1983), "Central and peripheral routes to advertising

effectiveness: The moderating role of involvement," Journal of Consumer Research, 10 (September), 135-146.

Scott, Carol A. and Richard F. Yalch (1980), "Consumer response to initial product trial: A Bayesian analysis,"

Journal of Consumer Research, 7 (June), 32-41.

Shimp, Terence A. and William O. Bearden (1982), "Warranty and other extrinsic cue effects on consumers' risk

perceptions," Journal of Consumer Research, 9 (June), 38-45.

Siegel, Sidney and N. John Castellan, Jr. (1988), Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. New York: McGraw-Hill.

Smead, Raymond J., James B. Wilcox and Robert E. Wilkes (1981), "How valid are product descriptions and protocols

in choice experiments?" Journal of Consumer Research, 8 (June), 37-42.

Swinyard, William R. and Kenneth A. Coney (1978), "Promotional effects on a high- versus low-involvement electorate," Journal of Consumer Research, 5 (June); 4148.

Ursic, Anthony C., Michael L. Ursic and Virginia L. Ursic (1986), "A longitudinal study of the use of the elderly in

magazine advertising," Journal of Consumer Research, 13 (June), 131-133.

Westbrook, Robert A. (1980), "Intrapersonal affective influences on consumer satisfaction with products," Journal

of Consumer Research, 7 (June), 49-54.

Yalch, Richard F. and Rebecca Elmore-Yalch (1984), "The effect of numbers on the route to persuasion," Journal of

Consumer Research, 11 (June), 522-527.

Metadata

Repository Staff Only: item control page