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The Doomsday Argument and Hempel's Problem

Franceschi, Paul (1999) The Doomsday Argument and Hempel's Problem. [Journal (On-line/Unpaginated)]

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Abstract

English translation of a paper originally pupblished in French in the Canadian Journal of Philosophy under the title 'Comment l'urne de Carter et Leslie se déverse dans celle de Hempel'. In this paper, I present firstly a solution to Hempel's Problem. I recall secondly the solution to the Doomsday Argument described in my previous Une Solution pour l'Argument de l'Apocalypse (Canadian Journal of Philosophy 1998-2) and remark that both solutions are based on a similar line of reasoning. I show thirdly that the Doomsday Argument can be reduced to the core of Hempel's Problem.

Item Type:Journal (On-line/Unpaginated)
Keywords:Hempel's Problem, Doomsday Argument, reference class problem
Subjects:Philosophy > Philosophy of Science
ID Code:2172
Deposited By:Franceschi, Paul
Deposited On:11 Apr 2002
Last Modified:12 Sep 2007 17:43

References in Article

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ECKHARDT, W. 1993. "Probability Theory and the Doomsday Argument." Mind, 102 (1993): 483-8

FRANCESCHI, P. 1998, "Une Solution pour l'Argument de l'Apocalypse." Canadian Journal of Philosophy, 28 (1998): 227-46

GOODMAN, N. 1955. Fact, Fiction and Forecast. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

HEMPEL, C. 1945. "Studies in the logic of confirmation." Mind, 54 (1945): 1-26 et 97-121

LESLIE, J. 1992. "Time and the Anthropic Principle." Mind, 101 (1992): 521-40

LESLIE, J. 1993. "Doom and probabilities." Mind, 102 (1993): 489-91

LESLIE, J. 1996. The End of the World: the science and ethics of human extinction. London and New York: Routledge.

PAPINEAU, D. 1995. "Methodology: the Elements of the Philosophy of Science." In Philosophy A Guide Through the Subject, ed. A.C. Grayling. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

SAINSBURY, M. 1988. Paradoxes. New York: Cambridge University Press.

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